Thursday 3 April 2008

Carry on cutting emissions, British scientists say

The BBC reports that British scientists have produced further compelling evidence showing that modern-day climate change is not caused by changes in the Sun's activity.

The research contradicts a favoured theory of climate "sceptics", that changes in cosmic rays coming to Earth determine cloudiness and temperature.

Presenting their findings in the Institute of Physics journal, Environmental Research Letters, the UK team explain that they used three different ways to search for a correlation, and found virtually none.

This is the latest piece of evidence which raises doubts about the cosmic ray theory, developed by Danish scientist Henrik Svensmark at the Danish National Space Center (DNSC).

"We started on this game because of Svensmark's work," Terry Sloan from Lancaster University told the BBC.

"If he is right, then we are going down the wrong path of taking all these expensive measures to cut carbon emissions; if he is right, we could carry on with carbon emissions as normal."

"We tried to corroborate Svensmark's hypothesis, but we could not; as far as we can see, he has no reason to challenge the IPCC - the IPCC has got it right.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), in its vast assessment of climate science last year, concluded that since temperatures began rising rapidly in the 1970s, the contribution of humankind's greenhouse gas emissions has outweighed that of the Sun by a factor of about 13 to one.

According to Terry Sloan, the message coming from his research is simple.

"So we had better carry on trying to cut carbon emissions."

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